Lean Development and the Predictability Paradox

by Mary Poppendieck

Why is it that software development projects suffer from such difficulty delivering predictable outcomes? All too often, projects are late or over budget, or they deliver the wrong system -- or fail by all three means. How can the predictability of software development outcomes be more on target? The accompanying Executive Report discusses the dilemma: in our zeal to improve the reliability of software development, we have institutionalized practices that decrease, rather than increase, the predictability of outcomes.

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Lean Development and the Predictability Paradox August 2003

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